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Wednesday, November 29, 2006

NFL Week 13 ATS: Positive Outlook

Posted on 10:46 AM by ergeg
The Monday night Green Bay-Seattle game resulted in a “push” for the SMA swami, leaving us with a 9-6-1 record on the week (and 19-12-1 the past two). It could have been, should have been, a lot sweeter. The Vikings were leading the Cardinals 31-13 and looked headed for an easy cover. But the Cards came back to close the gap to 31-26, and the six-point spread was toast. Then there were the Giants
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Tuesday, November 28, 2006

If Building a New Baseball Stadium Is Such a Great Idea, Why Do the Sounds Need Our Help?

Posted on 3:55 AM by ergeg
There’s a new book out called Tailgating, Sacks, and Salary Caps: How the NFL Became the Most Successful Sports League in History (Kaplan Publishing, $24.95). The author, Mark Yost, is a contributor to the Wall Street Journal, where his special focus is the economics of sports. It’s an eye-opener of a book, mostly along the lines of what a greedy money monster the National Football League has
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Tuesday, November 21, 2006

NFL Week 12 ATS: Green Is Also the Color of Hope

Posted on 8:10 AM by ergeg
The SMA swami returned to monied ways with a 10-6 slate in a fairly tough week. We racked up big scores with the underdog 49ers, Cowboys and Chargers in the gutsiest plays, and found additional support from teams like the Dolphins, Steelers and Cardinals. Thankfully, the Ravens, Bears, Panthers and Patriots were all solid favorites that did their duty. Things don’t get any easier, but now at
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Thursday, November 16, 2006

NFL Week 11 ATS: The Myth of Sisyphus

Posted on 1:51 AM by ergeg
I used to think that handicapping NFL games could be done successfully by sharp analysis, using a deft blend of observation of the teams at play, staying abreast of injuries and roster changes, and keeping a close eye on important statistics likes turnovers, time of possession, sacks, etc. Then there are other factors like home-field advantage and team histories versus each other. But picking
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Friday, November 10, 2006

NFL Week 10 ATS: Big Slate, Big Games

Posted on 4:17 PM by ergeg
The second half of the NFL season kicks off with 15 games, almost all of which have serious playoff implications. Only the Bears and Colts can afford to lose games at this juncture without risking potential serious damage to their postseason status. Other better teams like Denver, Baltimore, New Orleans and the Giants have played well, but they have divisional foes close enough to them to matter
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Wednesday, November 8, 2006

NFL Midseason Progress Report: Only a Few Really Making the Grade

Posted on 10:56 AM by ergeg
Just like schoolchildren all across America, the NFL teams are due for their midterm progress reports. Some of the students are doing quite well indeed. Others have improvement needed. And yes, some of the kids are headed for failing grades if they don’t get on the ball and turn things around by Christmas. Here’s a look at the class, division by division.AFC EAST 1. New England (6-2) Depite the
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Tuesday, October 31, 2006

NFL Week 9 ATS: Midpoint Mediocrity

Posted on 2:11 PM by ergeg
They like to call it parity in the NFL. Which is a nice way of avoiding the term mediocrity. Mediocrity kills the handicapper, because predicting can't be based on trends. In other words, things aren't always what they seem. There is no way, at this point in the 2006 season, to know the true character of teams like St. Louis, Kansas City, Cincinnati, Minnesota, Jacksonville or Dallas. They're all
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